2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine
(Redirected from United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2016)
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 2 Maine seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Maine |
|---|
 |
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on June 14.
Overview
[edit]Statewide
[edit]By district
[edit]Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 227,546 | 57.99% | 164,569 | 41.94% | 276 | 0.07% | 392,391 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 159,081 | 45.17% | 192,878 | 54.77% | 224 | 0.06% | 352,183 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 386,627 | 51.93% | 357,447 | 48.01% | 500 | 0.07% | 744,574 | 100.0% | |
District 1
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chellie Pingree, incumbent U.S. representative
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 28,143 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 28,143 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mark Holbrook, professional counselor[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ande Smith, United States Navy veteran and attorney[3]
Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Mark Holbrook | Ande Smith | |||||
| 1 | Jun. 7, 2016 | WMTW (TV) | Paul Merrill | [4] | P | P |
Results
[edit]After a recount, Holbrook was declared the winner with a margin of 57 votes.[5]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Holbrook | 10,360 | 50.1 | |
| Republican | Ande Smith | 10,303 | 49.9 | |
| Total votes | 20,663 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chellie Pingree (D) |
Mark Holbrook (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[6] | September 15–20, 2016 | 266 LV | ± 6.0% | 64% | 22% | 2% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[7] | September 4–10, 2016 | 382 LV | ± 5.1% | 57% | 37% | – | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire[8] | June 15–21, 2016 | 248 LV | ± 4.5% | 56% | 34% | – | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chellie Pingree (D) |
Ande Smith (R) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[8] | June 15–21, 2016 | 248 LV | ± 4.5% | 55% | 34% |
Endorsements
[edit]Chellie Pingree (D)
Organizations
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 227,546 | 58.0 | |
| Republican | Mark Holbrook | 164,569 | 41.9 | |
| Libertarian | James J. Bouchard (write-in) | 276 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 392,391 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
[edit] | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
Incumbent Republican Bruce Poliquin, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Bruce Poliquin, incumbent U.S. representative
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Poliquin (incumbent) | 19,252 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 19,252 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]After the 2014 election, Cain indicated she was interested in running against Poliquin in 2016.[11] In December 2014, Cain met with Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic Leader of the House of Representatives, to discuss her potential candidacy.[12] On March 3, 2015, Cain announced that she would be running for the seat.[13]
Bangor City Councilors Joe Baldacci and Ben Sprague were mentioned as potential Democratic candidates.[14] Jeff McCabe, the Majority Leader of the Maine House of Representatives, indicated that he might run against Poliquin in 2016, but later said that he would not do so.[15]
Troy Jackson, the former Majority Leader of the Maine Senate, who lost to Cain in the 2014 Democratic primary election, had said he might run as an independent candidate,[16] but he elected to run for his former Senate seat instead.[17]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Emily Cain, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2014[13]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Joe Baldacci, Bangor City Councilor and brother of former Governor of Maine and U.S. Representative John Baldacci[18]
Declined
[edit]- Troy Jackson, Democratic National Committee member, former sate senator, candidate for the seat in 2014 (running for state senate)[13][17]
- Jeff McCabe, Majority Leader of the Maine House of Representatives[15]
- Ben Sprague, Bangor City Councilor[13]
Endorsements
[edit]Emily Cain
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Emily Cain | 19,003 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 19,003 | 100 | ||
Independents
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Mike Turcotte, adjunct professor at Eastern Maine Community College[21]
Declined
[edit]- Troy Jackson, Democratic National Committee member, former sate senator, candidate for the seat in 2014 (running for State Senate)[16][17]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2016
Endorsements
[edit]Emily Cain (D)
U.S. Senators
- George J. Mitchell, former U.S. Senate Majority Leader (D-ME)[22]
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Emily Cain (D) |
Bruce Poliquin (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[25] | October 20–25, 2016 | 341 LV | ± 3.8% | 43% | 42% | 11% |
| Normington Petts (D-Cain)[26] | October 2–3, 2016 | 400 RV | ± 4.9% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire[27] | September 15–20, 2016 | 231 LV | ± 6% | 35% | 45% | 15% |
| SurveyUSA[28] | September 4–10, 2016 | 397 LV | ± 5% | 45% | 50% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire[8] | June 15–21, 2016 | 227 LV | ± 4.5% | 40% | 41% | 12% |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[30] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[31] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[33] | Tossup | October 31, 2016 |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Poliquin (incumbent) | 192,878 | 54.8 | |
| Democratic | Emily Cain | 159,081 | 45.2 | |
| Independent | Jay Parker Dresser (write-in) | 224 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 352,183 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d "Tabulations for Elections held on June 14, 2016". Maine Secretary of State. Retrieved July 22, 2016.
- ^ "Brunswick Republican files to challenge Pingree in 2016". November 20, 2015. Retrieved November 20, 2015.
- ^ "North Yarmouth attorney will try to unseat Maine's U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree - The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". Pressherald.com. January 11, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
- ^ YouTube
- ^ Shepherd, Michael (June 29, 2016). "Holbrook confirmed GOP primary winner in Maine's 1st District — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine". Bangordailynews.com. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ a b c University of New Hampshire
- ^ a b c "Election 2016 | EqualityMaine". Archived from the original on October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
- ^ a b "Tabulations for Elections held in 2016". Maine Secretary of State. Retrieved December 12, 2016.
- ^ "Democrats push for Cain vs. Poliquin 2016 rematch in Maine's 2nd District - Central Maine". Central Maine. November 15, 2014. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
- ^ "Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer Are Recruiting Emily Cain to Run Again". At the Races. Archived from the original on December 8, 2014. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
- ^ a b c d Shepherd, Michael (March 3, 2015). "Cain seeks 2016 rematch for Maine's 2nd District seat". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved March 4, 2014.
- ^ Michael Shepherd (January 11, 2015). "Maine's Bruce Poliquin dives into budget, energy issues". Central Maine. Retrieved January 12, 2015.
- ^ a b Michael Shepherd (February 4, 2015). "Skowhegan's McCabe says he won't run for Congress in 2016". Central Maine. Retrieved February 7, 2015.
- ^ a b "What kind of a congressman will Maine's Bruce Poliquin be? - Central Maine". Central Maine. November 9, 2014. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
- ^ a b c Shepherd, Michael (January 4, 2016). "Democrats McCabe, Jackson announce Maine Senate bids". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved January 4, 2016.
- ^ "Joe Baldacci Drops Out of Congressional Race | Maine Public Broadcasting". News.mpbn.net. February 5, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
- ^ Cousins, Christopher (June 10, 2015). "Nancy Pelosi to boost Emily Cain's rematch against Bruce Poliquin in big-money fundraiser". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved June 10, 2015.
- ^ Moretto, Mario (June 9, 2015). "Young Republican star wields Taylor Swift against Paul LePage". Bangor Daily News. Archived from the original on June 10, 2015. Retrieved June 9, 2015.
- ^ Mitchell, Jennifer (May 14, 2016). "Candidate Proposing Nuke Plants for Maine Drops out of Congressional Race". MPBN. Retrieved June 26, 2016.
- ^ "Former Maine Senator endorses Emily Cain for Congress". WCSH. September 23, 2016. Retrieved September 23, 2016.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Cain's pragmatism, openness would better serve Maine's 2nd District in Congress". October 20, 2016.
- ^ The Editorial Board (October 23, 2016). "Our View: Vote Emily Cain in 2nd District to make Congress work again".
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Normington Petts (D-Cain) [permanent dead link]
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ "2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
- ^ "2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
- ^ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
- ^ "Battle for the House 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
External links
[edit] Elections and referendums in Maine | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Presidential elections | |||||
| Senate elections |
| ||||
| House elections | |||||
| Gubernatorial elections |
| ||||
| Legislative elections |
| ||||
| Referendums | |||||